of the Global Network for the Forecasting of Earthquakes

Global Network for the Forecasting of Earthquakes is the International Organization created for effective short-term forecasting of strong earthquakes all over the world.
Central headquarters GNFE (Secretariat) it is placed in London (UK).
The central Server of management of a database is placed in La Habra (USA).
Control centre GNFE is placed to Baku (Azerbaijan).
The duplicating Server of management of a database is placed in Innsbruck (Austria).
Regional centers GNFE are placed in Islamabad (Pakistan) and Yogyakarta (Indonesia).


The catastrophic impact of earthquakes on human life and resources on this planet is undisputable and due to the world-wide population increase and fast communication and information technologies has never been that visible and threatening before.
In principle two main reasons can be made responsible for the high amount of casualties and the enormous material damages:
      -  Seismic instable buildings;
      -  Missing Earthquake Forecasts allowing organized evacuations and disaster management;
If the first reason in many respects is connected with social standards, the second factor depends mainly on the lacking efficiency of the development of technologies to predict earthquakes.
Solving the problem of forecasting earthquakes would allow governmental and other authorities as well as the affected population to take appropriate actions in time.


Specific objectives include:

(a)  To produce, place and constantly use the earthquake forecasting stations ATROPATENA® (developed and created by the Scientific Research           Institute of Forecasting and Studying the Earthquakes (SRIFSE) of the International Academy of Science H&E) in the countries of all participants of this program;
(b)  To create a directly linked network of collected ATROPATENA® data anytime accessible for all participants via internet;
(c)  To create an international operative warning platform for possible risks of strong earthquakes;
(d)  To improve quality and diversity of researching gravitational and other effects preceding strong earthquakes at different distances from earthquake epicenters;
(e)  To improve quality and diversity of researching existing technologies of earthquake forecasting in general and to create new technologies through collaborative studies;
(f)   To jointly publish new cognitions and knowledge in relevant journals all over the world;
(g)  To provide new education and research opportunities for scientists of the participating institutions;
(h)  To study the geological, geophysical, meteorological, biological, cosmic and other factors which allow earthquake prediction;

Agreements on implementation and terms of cooperation

(a)  GNFE is at its heart a network of ATROPATENA® short-term earthquake forecast stations connected to each other via a constantly online, encrypted internet-gateway (secure ftp hosted by a special server under own control at the center in Baku, Azerbaijan);
(b)  Control Center  of and base station of GNFE is the ATROPATENA® station situated in Baku at the Institute of Forecasting and Studying the Earthquakes (Republic of Azerbaijan);
(c)   All stations are supposed to be under independent control of the participating institutions;
(d)   All stations ATROPATENA without fail join in a network in GNFE  also are cells of network GNFE;
(e)   All owners and users of stations ATROPATENA  are obliged to sign EISCP and the bilateral agreement with GNFE about conditions and rules of participation in network GNFE;
(f)    After inclusion of stations ATROPATENA in network GNFE, a priority of management of stations passes to Control –°enter of GNFE; 
(g)   After inclusion of stations in network GNFE its localization and orientation cannot be changed by the owner or the user without the permission of General Director of GNFE;
(h)   All collected data is to be sent immediately to the –°entral DATABASE  in Canada by means of software of GNFE  where all data is archived;
(i)    All participating organizations have constant and full access to this mentioned database via internet;
(j)    An Internet appearance of GNFE provided and maintained by the base station in Baku will inform the public about the program, its goals, activities and participants – in order to avoid mass panics, which can substantially complicate actions of regional and governmental authorities, information’s about earthquake predictions will be given ONLY to official authorities. – All data are highly confidential and no direct public information nor any information to mass media or other non-participants will be given out by none of the participating institutions and partners;
(k)   Earthquakes forecasts will be given to third parties ONLY by the GNFE base station in Baku and ONLY after prior information to all participating institutions and partners via e-mail;
(l)    The GNFE base station in Baku will use for ALL alerts given to third parties uniquely a yet to be designed earthquake prediction template on whose text and appearance all participating institutions and partners have to agree;
(m)  Earthquake forecasts are provided on basis of the interpretation of the collected data entering from all GNFE stations. During confirmation earthquake predictions, the results of interpretation from all the participants of GNFE are to be taken into consideration;
(n)   Archive information about earthquake forecasts which have already taken place can be given to mass media ONLY on basis of a written consent of the Control Center of GNFE  signed by General Director GNFE  Prof. Elchin Khalilov;
(o)   As common language for all communication, internet presence, publishing etc. English is used as unique language;
(p)   New participating institutions and partners are explicitly welcome and can be approved by signing this agreement after a prior consent of the Board of the Program (see topic 7a) and after having signed a contract with the “Scientific Research Institute of Forecasting and Studying the Earthquakes” (SRIFSE) about the purchase and/or use of an ATROPATENA® station;
(q)  Absolute and unique owner of the intellectual property concerning all technologies related to the ATROPATENA® stations and GNFE is the “Scientific Research Institute of Forecasting and Studying the Earthquakes” (SRIFSE);
(r)   All participating institutions and partners running an ATROPATENA® station are absolute or partial owners of their station, independently run their station within the limits of established by the special agreement with GNFE or charter of GNFE  and represent GNFE in their region.
(s)   Regional director of station ATROPATENA is appointed the owner of station and affirms from director GNFE; 
(t)    All legal and financial mutual relations between a participating institution or partner and SRIFSE are regulated on basis of bilateral contracts;
(u)   Any additional terms of cooperation or agreements have to be mutually discussed and agreed upon in a written consent only. If it seems to be useful, such additional specifications can be matter of an appendix of this agreement.

Management Structure

(a)   Executive organ of GNFE is the Board of the GNFE consisting of one representative to be nominated by each participating institution or partner.
(b)   General Director of GNFE and chairman of the Board of the Program is Prof.Dr.Elchin Khalilov. He realizes all matters related to partner coordination, data collection and interpretation, methodical and scientific management and coordination, public relations, program promotion, new partner attraction etc.
(c)   ICSD/IAS H&E and its president Walter Kofler support ICEP, the Board of the GNFE and its General Director through their widespread organisation and contacts.
(d)   The Board of the Program (BP) decides about:
Any alteration, addition etc. of the ICEP Program;
       -  The statement and change of charter of  GNFE;
       -  The statement of annual reports of GNFE;
       -  The statement of the long-term program of development GNFE;
       Substructures to be established;
       -  Publishing;
       -  Realization of conferences, meetings and workshops;

(e)  General director of GNFE possesses the exclusive right of the veto to the decision of Board if the decision of board can cause essential damage of safety and efficiency work of GNFE. 
(f)    Decisions of the Board of the Program (BP) can be taken via e-mail or in personal meetings of the Board but only on behalf of written documents.
(g)   All decisions of the Board of the Program (BP) are to be taken by a simple majority and must be communicated immediately to every participating institution or partner.
(h)   Decisions of board cannot concern the property rights and intellectual property of the owner of technology GNFE.